In order to better asses this association, investigators launched the Friends of Cancer Research ctDNA for Monitoring Treatment Response (ctMoniTR) project.
“Friends of Cancer Research convened a diverse working group to establish and implement an analysis plan assessing patient-level associations between changes in ctDNA levels with OS and PFS,” investigators wrote.
Delving into the Study Background
Each cohort was defined either as a treatment arm from a randomized controlled trial or as patients from a single-arm trial. Only TKI-treated patients were included; those receiving chemotherapy were excluded.
Inclusion criteria for patients required participants to have biomarker-positive advanced NSCLC treated with the corresponding TKI, as well as have information consisting of RECIST v1.1 assessments, survival data, a baseline ctDNA sample within 14 days and at least one on-treatment ctDNA sample. Additional criteria included defining the 10-week on-treatment window, relevant clinical covariates for multivariable analysis, outcomes of interest and minimum cohort sizes for training and test sets.
The primary ctDNA endpoint was the change in variant allele frequency from baseline to up to 10 weeks post-index. For patients with multiple samples within this window, the lowest variant allele frequency or a non-detectable result was used.
Understanding the Specific Results
Data from eight clinical trials comprising 1,590 patients with biomarker-positive advanced NSCLC treated with TKIs were reviewed; however, once the 10-week post-index sample window was selected, 940 patients were analyzed.
Among patients with baseline ctDNA that became undetectable on treatment (“clearance”), OS was significantly improved compared with those who had persistent ctDNA. This association persisted in the subgroup with stable disease within 10 weeks of treatment initiation and, notably, similar patterns were observed for PFS.
The analysis confirmed that patients with never-detected ctDNA had the most favorable OS and PFS outcomes. Among those with detectable ctDNA at baseline, clearance was associated with significantly improved OS and PFS compared with persistent detection. Findings were consistent across training and test sets.
“The FDA emphasizes the importance of patient-level meta-analyses to support the validation of ctDNA as an early endpoint for regulatory decision-making,” the study investigators wrote in their research. “Findings herein provide a patient-level aggregate analysis demonstrating an association between ctDNA clearance and improved OS. However, additional work is necessary to establish ctDNA as a reliable clinical and regulatory tool. Future studies should include prospectively defined analyses to evaluate changes in ctDNA levels and associations with long-term clinical outcomes.”
For more news on cancer updates, research and education, don’t forget to subscribe to CURE®’s newsletters here.